Publications

Restoring nature and nature's contribution to people, while limiting global warming and ensuring food security, requires ambitious conservation and sustainability strategies. Global biodiversity is projected to further decline under a wide range of future...

Multi-model assessment to better understand uncertainties in model outcomes. The (re)integration of nature into cities has been a progressively promoted strategy to foster sustainable urbanization. To quantify the ecosystem services (ES) provided by urban nature,...

Macro-scale patterns of riverine fish species richness and anthropogenic alteration seem to converge. Positive relationships between biodiversity in rivers and river discharge, also called species–discharge relationships (SDRs), have been widely documented. However,...

In 2050 anthropogenic sources will contribute up to 80% to river nutrient loading Curbing the global nutrient cycles requires paradigm shifts in food and waste systems N:P ratios in global rivers will further increase due to selective system retention of P Waste...

A heterogenous knowledge base.Urban green and blue infrastructure (GBI) and associated ecosystem services (ES) are increasingly recognized for their potential to address urban sustainability challenges (e.g., climate change, public health issues). This has resulted in...

Towards a deeper understanding of interaction mechanisms to better project future biodiversity trends.Changes in climate and land use are major drivers of biodiversity loss. These drivers likely interact and their mutual effects alter biodiversity. These interaction...

Reducing global warming matters for freshwater fish species.Climate change poses a significant threat to global biodiversity, but freshwater fishes have been largely ignored in climate change assessments. In this study we assess threats of future flow and water...

On the importance of predictor choice, modelling technique, and number of pseudo-absences for bioclimatic envelope model performance  Bioclimatic envelope models are commonly used to assess the influence of climate change on species' distributions and...

More ambitious policy and actions are required if future biodiversity and ecosystem services in Europe are to be safeguarded.Projections of future changes in biodiversity and ecosystem services (BES) are of increasing importance to inform policy and decision-making on...

EU countries show different levels of variability in their subnational GHG and land-based biodiversity footprints.Insights into subnational environmental impacts and the underlying drivers are scarce, especially from a consumption-based perspective. Here, we...

Tropical mammals have lost on average 40% of their original distribution due to the combined effect of hunting pressure and human land use.Land use and hunting are two major pressures on biodiversity in the tropics. Yet, their combined impacts have not been...

Freshwater fish are highly threatened by dams that disrupt the longitudinal connectivity of rivers.Dams contribute to water security, energy supply, and flood protection but also fragment habitats of freshwater species. Yet, a global species-level assessment of...

Mapping of 295 mines representing the majority of current Cu, Au, Ag, PGE, Mo, Pb-Zn, Ni, U and diamond production. Mines are composed of features like open cut pits, water storage ponds, milling infrastructure, waste rock dumps, and tailings storage facilities that...

The paper describes the updated GLOBIO model.Scenario‐based biodiversity modelling is a powerful approach to evaluate how possible future socio‐economic developments may affect biodiversity. Here, we evaluated the changes in terrestrial biodiversity intactness,...

Model approach for global modelling of harmful algal blooms, compromising ecosystem services of lakes, as used in GLOBIO​. Algal blooms increasingly threaten lake and reservoir water quality at the global scale, caused by ongoing climate change and nutrient loading....

Outlines of the GLOBIO model for the impact of land-use and climate changes on ecosystem services of inland wetlands. Wetlands play an important role in the provision of important ecosystem services like the provision of clean water to the world, adaptation to climate...

Meta-analysis of nitrogen impacts on plant diversity.Nitrogen enrichment is among the main drivers of the loss of plant diversity in terrestrial ecosystems.  As part of the GLOBIO project, we have performed a systematic meta-analysis in which we synthesised the...

If the world stays on its current development path, the state of biodiversity will continue to decline.This is due to projected further increases in pressures, most prominently habitat loss and climate change. In order to reduce these pressures, biodiversity...

Global patterns of road infrastructure.Georeferenced information on road infrastructure is essential for spatial planning, socio-economic assessments and environmental impact analyses. However, current publicly available global road maps are outdated and biased. In...

Hunting is a major driver of biodiversity loss, but a systematic large-scale estimate of hunting-induced defaunation is lacking.Hunting is a major driver of biodiversity loss, but a systematic large-scale estimate of hunting-induced defaunation is lacking. We...

A Global-Scale Footprint Analysis.It is increasingly recognized that human consumption leads to considerable losses of biodiversity. This study is the first to systematically quantify these losses in relation to land use and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions associated...

Several global strategies for protected area expansion have been proposed to achieve the CBD's Aichi target 11.Several global strategies for protected area (PA) expansion have been proposed to achieve the Convention on Biological Diversity's Aichi target 11 as a means...

A global model for assessing the dominant human impacts on inland aquatic biodiversity.Biodiversity in freshwater ecosystems – rivers, lakes and wetlands – is undergoing rapid global decline. Major drivers are land use change, eutrophication, hydrological disturbance,...

Determining trade-offs and synergies between ecosystem services and livestock grazing intensity on rangelands.Vast areas of rangelands across the world are grazed with increasing intensity, but interactions between livestock production, biodiversity and other...

Alteration of natural flow regime is considered a major threat to biodiversity in river floodplain ecosystems.Measurements of quantitative relationships between flow regime change and biodiversity are, however, incomplete and inconclusive. This hampers the assessment...

Assessing the geography and extent of projected changes in suitable habitat for terrestrial mammals.Current levels of endangerment and historical trends of species and habitats are the main criteria used to direct conservation efforts globally. Estimates of future...

An example for plant species in Europe. Climate change is one of the main factors that will affect biodiversity in the future and may even cause species extinctions. We suggest a methodology to derive a general relationship between biodiversity change and global...

A global meta-analysis.Biodiversity is being lost at an increased rate as a result of human activities. One of the major threats to biodiversity is infrastructural development. We used meta-analyses to study the effects of infrastructure proximity on mammal and bird...

The GLOBIO3 model has been developed to assess human-induced changes in biodiversity.The GLOBIO3 model has been developed to assess human-induced changes in biodiversity, in the past, present, and future at regional and global scales. The model is built on simple...