Publications
Papers
How do methodological choices influence bioclimatic envelope models?
On the importance of predictor choice, modelling technique, and number of pseudo-absences for bioclimatic envelope model performance Bioclimatic envelope models are commonly used to assess the influence of climate change on species' distributions and...
Future projections of biodiversity and ecosystem services in Europe with two integrated assessment models
More ambitious policy and actions are required if future biodiversity and ecosystem services in Europe are to be safeguarded.Projections of future changes in biodiversity and ecosystem services (BES) are of increasing importance to inform policy and decision-making on...
Subnational greenhouse gas and land-based biodiversity footprints in the European Union
EU countries show different levels of variability in their subnational GHG and land-based biodiversity footprints.Insights into subnational environmental impacts and the underlying drivers are scarce, especially from a consumption-based perspective. Here, we...
Combined effects of land use and hunting on distributions of tropical mammals
Tropical mammals have lost on average 40% of their original distribution due to the combined effect of hunting pressure and human land use.Land use and hunting are two major pressures on biodiversity in the tropics. Yet, their combined impacts have not been...
Impacts of current and future large dams on the geographic range connectivity of freshwater fish worldwide
Freshwater fish are highly threatened by dams that disrupt the longitudinal connectivity of rivers.Dams contribute to water security, energy supply, and flood protection but also fragment habitats of freshwater species. Yet, a global species-level assessment of...
Global-scale remote sensing of mine areas and analysis of factors explaining their extent
Mapping of 295 mines representing the majority of current Cu, Au, Ag, PGE, Mo, Pb-Zn, Ni, U and diamond production. Mines are composed of features like open cut pits, water storage ponds, milling infrastructure, waste rock dumps, and tailings storage facilities that...
Projecting terrestrial biodiversity intactness with GLOBIO 4
The paper describes the updated GLOBIO model.Scenario‐based biodiversity modelling is a powerful approach to evaluate how possible future socio‐economic developments may affect biodiversity. Here, we evaluated the changes in terrestrial biodiversity intactness,...
Impacts of nitrogen addition on plant species richness and abundance: A global meta‐analysis
Meta-analysis of nitrogen impacts on plant diversity.Nitrogen enrichment is among the main drivers of the loss of plant diversity in terrestrial ecosystems. As part of the GLOBIO project, we have performed a systematic meta-analysis in which we synthesised the...
Pathways for agriculture and forestry to contribute to terrestrial biodiversity conservation: A global scenario-study
If the world stays on its current development path, the state of biodiversity will continue to decline.This is due to projected further increases in pressures, most prominently habitat loss and climate change. In order to reduce these pressures, biodiversity...
Global patterns of current and future road infrastructure
Global patterns of road infrastructure.Georeferenced information on road infrastructure is essential for spatial planning, socio-economic assessments and environmental impact analyses. However, current publicly available global road maps are outdated and biased. In...
The impact of hunting on tropical mammal and bird populations
Hunting is a major driver of biodiversity loss, but a systematic large-scale estimate of hunting-induced defaunation is lacking.Hunting is a major driver of biodiversity loss, but a systematic large-scale estimate of hunting-induced defaunation is lacking. We...
Quantifying Biodiversity Losses Due to Human Consumption
A Global-Scale Footprint Analysis.It is increasingly recognized that human consumption leads to considerable losses of biodiversity. This study is the first to systematically quantify these losses in relation to land use and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions associated...
Socio-economic and ecological impacts of global protected area expansion plans
Several global strategies for protected area expansion have been proposed to achieve the CBD's Aichi target 11.Several global strategies for protected area (PA) expansion have been proposed to achieve the Convention on Biological Diversity's Aichi target 11 as a means...
GLOBIO-Aquatic, a global model of human impact on the biodiversity of inland aquatic ecosystems
A global model for assessing the dominant human impacts on inland aquatic biodiversity.Biodiversity in freshwater ecosystems – rivers, lakes and wetlands – is undergoing rapid global decline. Major drivers are land use change, eutrophication, hydrological disturbance,...
Mapping and modelling trade-offs and synergies between grazing intensity and ecosystem services in rangelands using global-scale datasets and models
Determining trade-offs and synergies between ecosystem services and livestock grazing intensity on rangelands.Vast areas of rangelands across the world are grazed with increasing intensity, but interactions between livestock production, biodiversity and other...
The impact of river regulation on the biodiversity intactness of floodplain wetlands
Alteration of natural flow regime is considered a major threat to biodiversity in river floodplain ecosystems.Measurements of quantitative relationships between flow regime change and biodiversity are, however, incomplete and inconclusive. This hampers the assessment...
Future hotspots of mammal loss
Assessing the geography and extent of projected changes in suitable habitat for terrestrial mammals.Current levels of endangerment and historical trends of species and habitats are the main criteria used to direct conservation efforts globally. Estimates of future...
Towards a general relationship between climate change and biodiversity
An example for plant species in Europe. Climate change is one of the main factors that will affect biodiversity in the future and may even cause species extinctions. We suggest a methodology to derive a general relationship between biodiversity change and global...
The impacts of roads and other infrastructure on mammal and bird populations
A global meta-analysis.Biodiversity is being lost at an increased rate as a result of human activities. One of the major threats to biodiversity is infrastructural development. We used meta-analyses to study the effects of infrastructure proximity on mammal and bird...
GLOBIO3: framework to investigate options for reducing global terrestrial biodiversity loss
The GLOBIO3 model has been developed to assess human-induced changes in biodiversity.The GLOBIO3 model has been developed to assess human-induced changes in biodiversity, in the past, present, and future at regional and global scales. The model is built on simple...
Technical model descriptions
GLOBIO Aquatic technical model description
This report covers the technical description of the GLOBIO Aquatic model.This report covers the technical description of the GLOBIO Aquatic model, v. 1.3 (Aug. 2014), as an addition to the paper by Janse et al. (2015), where a more elaborate explanation of the model’s...
GLOBIO 3.5 technical model description
This document contains a technical description of the GLOBIO model (version 3.5).This document contains a technical description of the GLOBIO model (version 3.5). It gives an overview of the input data, modelling steps and parameter values used to model human impacts...
Reports
Global Biodiversity Score
Measuring a company's biodiversity footprint.Unlike climate change mitigation which is gradually mainstreamed into business strategies and activities, biodiversity still struggles to be recognized as a major issue for businesses and financial institutions due to its...
How sectors can contribute to sustainable use and conservation of biodiversity
Technical Background 79 report to the fourth Global Biodiversity Outlook (GBO4).Developments in sectors such as agriculture, wood production, water management and fisheries largely shape the world’s current and future biodiversity, as they exert direct pressures on...
Roads from Rio+20
Pathways to achieve global sustainability goals by 2050.The report Roads from Rio+20 analyses how combinations of technological measures and changes in consumption patterns could contribute to achieving a set of sustainability objectives, taking into account the...
Rethinking Global Biodiversity Strategies
Exploring structural changes in production and consumption to reduce biodiversity lossThe mere protection of valuable nature areas, although still necessary, will not be sufficient for reducing global biodiversity loss in the coming decades. Population growth and...
International review of the GLOBIO model version 3
Review: GLOBIO3 is well suited to play an important role in biodiversity assessments.In April 2005, a review committee gathered to assess the scientifically validity and policy-relevance of the GLOBIO3 model as part of the International Biodiversity project. Four...
Globio: global methodology for mapping human impacts on the biosphere
The Arctic 2050 scenario and global application.GLOBIO was initiated to provide an inexpensive, simple scientifically based communication tool for mapping, at large scale, the likelihood of human impacts on the biosphere resulting from increasing growth in resource...